System Models Used in Life Cycle Assessments (LCAs)

Ameena Fazlin
- Published on June 24, 2026
What is a System Model in an LCA?
Real-world manufacturing is rarely simple. A single industrial process often creates multiple outputs at the same time—for example, a sawmill produces both timber and sawdust. When conducting a Life Cycle Assessment (LCA), practitioners need a standardized rulebook to determine exactly how much of the factory’s environmental burden belongs to the timber and how much belongs to the sawdust.
A system model is this rulebook. It provides the methodological rules for allocating environmental impacts, linking markets, and determining how burdens are assigned between products, by-products, recycled materials, and market effects.
The Three Primary System Models
To handle interconnected global supply chains, system models are defined by international LCA standards (such as ISO 14040/14044) and implemented by major life cycle inventory databases (such as ecoinvent). The choice of model depends on the goal of the study:
- Cut-off (Allocation, cut-off by classification): This is the most widely used “attributional” model. In an attributional LCA, the assessment strictly accounts for the historical, physical supply chain and average environmental burdens directly tied to a product. It operates on a simple philosophy: a producer is fully responsible for creating their primary product and for treating any useless waste. However, if the process generates a recyclable by-product (like scrap metal), that material is “cut off” from the original environmental burden. The next company that purchases and uses that recycled scrap starts with a clean, burden-free slate.
- APOS (Allocation at the point of substitution): Also an attributional model, APOS takes a different approach by focusing on shared responsibility. Instead of cutting off burdens, APOS dictates that if a process creates a useful by-product, the environmental costs of the factory should be proportionally distributed across all the valuable outputs. In this model, the environmental burden follows the material throughout its entire lifecycle.
- Consequential (Substitution, consequential, long-term): While Cut-off and APOS measure historical averages, the Consequential model predicts the future. It is designed to show the macroeconomic consequences of a change in demand. Instead of using average, everyday data, it looks at “marginal” suppliers. These specific facilities will actually scale up or down if the market changes. It also uses a method called substitution (rather than allocation) to calculate how generating new by-products might displace other established products on the global market.
Comparing the Core Models
The table below breaks down the most common system models used in major life cycle databases. Each model offers a distinct methodology for handling complex supply chains and shared environmental burdens.
| System Model | 1. Cut-off | 2. APOS | 3. Consequential |
| Core Rule (How it works) | Assumes recycled materials come "burden-free." The environmental impact of creating the original material stays with the original product; it is "cut off" at the recycling plant | Allocates environmental burdens across all products, including waste and by-products. It shares the responsibility for the original manufacturing emissions. | Ignores historical averages. It predicts how the global market and surrounding industries will shift to meet a new demand or policy change. |
| Example: Using Recycled Plastic | A manufacturer uses recycled plastic for a product. They do not inherit any carbon footprint from the original virgin plastic's creation. They only account for the environmental impact of the recycling facility itself. | A manufacturer uses recycled plastic. They inherit a portion of the carbon footprint from when that plastic was created as virgin material, sharing the historical burden with the first user. | A company uses recycled plastic. Because they purchased it, the available market supply drops, and another company might be forced to buy virgin plastic instead. The LCA models this broader market shift. |
| Primary Use Case | Standard product LCAs and most corporate Environmental Product Declarations (EPDs). EN 15804-based EPDs also apply cut-off principles for modelling recycling and recovery beyond the system boundary. | Academic studies where researchers want to map out shared responsibility across a material's whole life. | Large-scale policy decisions, government regulations, and forecasting. |
Conclusion
Choosing the correct system model is one of the most critical decisions an LCA practitioner must make. Selecting a historical model when a consequential one was needed can significantly influence the results and their interpretation. By understanding the underlying assumptions of models like Cut-off, APOS, and Consequential, organizations can ensure their environmental reporting is both accurate and perfectly aligned with their specific goals.












